IQ-Predicted · Updated Daily
World Cup 2026 Bracket
PredictionsIQ's predicted path from Round of 32 to the Final. Updated as group stage results come in.
IQ predicted World Cup 2026 champion

France
From Group I · IQ confidence: high
Final · July 29 · MetLife Stadium
VS
51%Win probability49%
3rd Place · July 18
VS
49%Win probability51%
Semi-finals
2 matchesSemi-finals24 Jul
VS
53%Win probability47%
Semi-finals25 Jul
VS
49%Win probability51%
Quarter-finals
4 matchesQuarter-finals20 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Quarter-finals20 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Quarter-finals21 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Quarter-finals21 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Round of 16
8 matchesRound of 1614 Jul
VS
56%Win probability44%
Round of 1614 Jul
VS
56%Win probability44%
Round of 1615 Jul
VS
51%Win probability49%
Round of 1615 Jul
VS
51%Win probability49%
Round of 1616 Jul
VS
52%Win probability48%
Round of 1616 Jul
VS
53%Win probability47%
Round of 1617 Jul
VS
54%Win probability46%
Round of 1617 Jul
VS
54%Win probability46%
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 324 Jul
VS
74%Win probability26%
Round of 324 Jul
VS
63%Win probability37%
Round of 325 Jul
VS
61%Win probability39%
Round of 325 Jul
VS
51%Win probability49%
Round of 326 Jul
VS
68%Win probability32%
Round of 326 Jul
VS
66%Win probability34%
Round of 327 Jul
VS
57%Win probability43%
Round of 327 Jul
VS
55%Win probability45%
Round of 328 Jul
VS
69%Win probability31%
Round of 328 Jul
VS
65%Win probability35%
Round of 329 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Round of 329 Jul
VS
54%Win probability46%
Round of 3210 Jul
VS
72%Win probability28%
Round of 3210 Jul
VS
64%Win probability36%
Round of 3211 Jul
VS
58%Win probability42%
Round of 3211 Jul
VS
52%Win probability48%
Key Knockout Dates
Jul 4–11Round of 32
Jul 14–17Round of 16
Jul 20–21Quarter-Finals
Jul 24–25Semi-Finals
Jul 283rd Place Play-off
Jul 29Final — MetLife Stadium
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Frequently Asked Questions
When does the World Cup 2026 knockout stage start?▼
The Round of 32 begins on July 4, 2026, after the group stage ends on July 2. The Final is scheduled for July 29, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New York.
How many teams advance from the World Cup 2026 group stage?▼
32 teams advance to the knockout stage — the top 2 from each of the 12 groups (24 teams) plus the 8 best third-place finishers.
Who will win World Cup 2026?▼
Our IQ prediction model picks France as the most likely World Cup 2026 champion based on squad depth, current form, tactical analysis, and historical tournament performance.
Where is the World Cup 2026 Final?▼
The World Cup 2026 Final will be played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York metro area) on July 29, 2026. It is the largest stadium in the US with a capacity of 82,500.